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Absorption rate by price range and area

Since the absorption rate is is defined as how long it would take to sell the available inventory of homes at the current sales pace if no new homes came on the market, it's interesting to see the different absorption rates by price range and by Charleston MLS area. An absorption rate of 6 months is considered a balanced market, less is considered a sellers market and more is considered a buyers market.

The left axis represents the number of months and in some cases, might be better expressed as number of years for available inventory to sell. After all, 30 months is 2 1/2 years.  

Homes at lower price points and in areas where more homes are available at lower price points are clearly being absorbed quicker than mid priced and higher priced homes but there is no doubt it's a buyers market. 

Statistics compiled by Howard Arnoff using the Charleston MLS as the source of data, information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Absorption rate by price range

Charleston real estate absorption rate by price range

Absorption rate by Charleston MLS area

Charleston real estate absorption rate by Charleston MLS area

Published Saturday, May 02, 2009 6:29 AM by Howard Arnoff

Comments

# re: Absorption rate by price range and area

You can't sell a house when it is not appraised for the price.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/30521887

Most people don't know there is a huge change in appraiser law yesterday.  The house will sell if it is priced correctly!  I see it in San Diego, some at 70% discount.  Personally (personal opinion), a lot of Charleston houses are at least 20% over-priced.

I was looking at the CofC index.  Assuming 3% inflation every year from 10 years ago and housing price always come down even with actual inflation i.e. zero % gain including inflation (I believe this is actually historic trend except last 10 years).  We are looking at 2000 price...I could be to pessimistic though.

Saturday, May 02, 2009 5:52 PM by Jimmy

# re: Absorption rate by price range and area

Hi Jimmy, I don't think that even the most pessimistic in Charleston or San Diego think that prices have reverted to 2000, maybe places like Detroit or Cleveland.

Sure, there are some homes that are terribly overpriced but there always are in both good markets and bad and they won't sell in either case.

And of course, a house must appraise but the change simply prevents banks from hiring their favorite appraisers who always come in on the money and makes the appraisal more independent.

Monday, May 04, 2009 6:36 AM by Howard Arnoff
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