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Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

I think you'll find some interesting trends in this month's Charleston South Carolina real estate market report. As usual, we'll start with the statistics and comment after.

Unit Sales and Inventory

Single Family Homes 

MonthSales 06Sales 07ChangeInv (mo) 06Inv (mo) 07Change
       
Jan783702-10.34%3719 (4.75)5719 (8.14)53.78%
Feb858770-10.26%4023 (4.69)5861 (7.61)45.69%
Mar1177994-15.55%4330 (3.68)6087 (6.12)40.58%
Apr964771-20.02%4692 (4.87)6329 (8.21)34.89%
May1189786-33.89%4900 (4.12)6711 (8.54)36.96%
June1322879-33.51%5235 (3.96)6932 (7.89)32.42%
July1024792-22.66%5618 (5.49)7022 (8.87)24.99%
Aug1041  5849 (5.62)  
Sep1101  5963 (5.42)  
Oct834  6075 (7.28)  
Nov889  5999 (6.75)  
Dec862  5755 (6.68)  

Condos and Townhomes

MonthSales 06Sales 07ChangeInv (mo) 06Inv (mo) 07Change
       
Jan331155-53.17%1189 (3.60)2403 (15.50)102.10%
Feb276163-40.94%1665 (6.03)2521 (15.47)51.41%
Mar374239-36.10%1763 (4.71)2618 (10.95)48.50%
Apr434235-45.85%1730 (3.99)2740 (11.66)58.38%
May405243-40.00%1971 (4.87)2805 (11.54)42.31%
June329219-33.43%2096 (6.37)2793 (12.75)33.26%
July345251-27.25%2289 (6.63)2811 (11.20)22.80%
Aug312  2318 (7.43)  
Sep284  2419 (8.52)  
Oct268  2624 (9.79)  
Nov207  2579 (12.4)  
Dec244  2467 (10.1)  

The "Current Inventory" (inv) column reflects the number of active listings on the market on the 16th day of each Month. The "Months of Inventory" (mo) column is equal to the "Current Inventory" divided by the "Monthly Sales". This reflects how many months it would take to sell out of inventory at the current month’s rate of sale. 

Average and Median Prices

Single Family Homes

MonthAverage 06Average 07ChangeMedian 06Median 07Change
       
Jan$338,307$329,364-2.60%$206,531$221,4507.20%
Feb$290,867$290,621unch$208,965$218,2694.50%
Mar$319,579$310,000-3.00%$210,551$219,9164.40%
Apr$319,989$324,4651.40%$215,000$229,0006.50%
May$343,653$350,2831.90%$216,728$229,2505.70%
June$306,038$357,55016.83%$213,116$225,0005.58%
July$325,242$328,5940.10%$226,580$222,261-1.91%
Aug$319,838  $221,937  
Sep$286,945  $200,935  
Oct$332,620  $215,000  
Nov$301,428  $216,900  
Dec$291,799  $210,000  

Condos and Townhomes

MonthAverage 06Average 07ChangeMedian 06Median 07Change
       
Jan$253,632$224,970-11.30%$173,000$178,0002.90%
Feb$246,102$224,281-8.90%$167,275$156,900-6.20%
Mar$250,851$253,0290.90%$204,613$169,900-17.00%
Apr$239,540$222,034-7.30%$193,093$175,000-9.40%
May$243,927$226,365-7.20%$192,600$169,750-11.90%
June$238,437$281,48618.05%$181,900$211,84016.46%
July$216,871$258,61519.25%$183,310$188,7502.97%
Aug$228,221  $181,100  
Sep$238,503  $190,488  
Oct$237,610  $183,171  
Nov$208,051  $165,000  
Dec$230,212  $152,500  

12 month comparisons

Single Family Homes

DateSalesAvg SaleMedianDOM
12 months 7/1/2005-6/30/200612,829$315,127 $211,000 59
12 months 7/1/2006-6/30/200710,723$316,579 $217,922 84
Change-16.42%0.46%3.28%42.37%

Condos and Townhomes

DateSalesAvg SaleMedianDOM
12 months 7/1/2005-6/30/20064,244$237,052 $178,000 59
12 months 7/1/2006-6/30/20072,967$235,214 $177,000 91
Change-30.09%-0.77%-0.56%54.24%

I'll start by pointing out trends that have not changed. Unit sales are still off from last year and inventory continues to remain high. The difference is that you can now see that unit sales are declining at a smaller pace than previously and inventory is no longer continuing to build at the previous pace. Both are good signs for the market.

As to pricing, it remains solid. This is the first month I have ever seen the median price decline ( a modest 1.91%) in single family homes while the average increased a minuscule 0.1%). Condo sales must be stronger at the higher end because I've noticed back to back months of significant average price increases of 18 and 19% respectively. There is certainly a glut of condos at lower and middle price points, several condo conversions have been put on hold and there is significant unsold inventory at some new construction condos.

Most importantly is how well the Charleston real estate market has held up compared to many other markets across the country. The big picture with 12 month comparisons demonstrates firm pricing on both an average and median basis for both single family homes and condominiums despite declining unit sales.

I have been surprised for months that the sales activity has not increased because thankfully, my business has been pretty good despite the downturn. I keep expecting to look at the MLS statistics and see better unit sales figures. I'm actually quite surprised to see prices holding up so well considering the unit sales declines. I would think that supply and demand would have pressured prices a bit more.

The big news of course is in the mortgage market. Stricter standards are being applied to borrowers without full documentation but traditional creditworthy borrowers can still obtain conventional financing at very good current market rates. The good news with the recent slide in Wall Street is that 10 year Treasury rates have declined bringing mortgage rates down with them. 30 year fixed which were being offered a month ago from 6.62 to 6.75 are now ranging from 6.12 to 6.37.

I'll close this month's market report with the thought that Charleston is a wonderful place to live and own a home. I wrote a lengthy post recently titled, With all the bad news, is it a good time to buy Charleston real estate that I hope you will find interesting. 

Published Monday, August 06, 2007 1:20 PM by Howard Arnoff

Comments

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Hi Howard, Thank you for the insight. It seems like you have a good grasp on the numbers, which is exactly what my wife and I are looking for in a future realtor. Barring any major changes, we're hoping to relocate to the Charleston area early next year. We'd like to begin getting an idea of the market and neighborhoods now, and be somewhat familiar by the time we get there. As an idea for a blog posting (or at least something I'd be very personally interested in), could you post low, median, and high house prices by elementary school. I would love to see an excel file with mls number, elementary school, and house price if you had the capability and time to run it. Keep up the good work.

-Will

 

Tuesday, August 07, 2007 8:51 PM by Will

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Will, thanks for stopping by and I look forward to being of help to you. As to prices by school district, that might be a tall order, after all, I do have to sell a little real estate between posting to my blog :)

Wednesday, August 08, 2007 5:32 AM by Howard Arnoff

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Howard,

Can you tell me what the market and appreciation rates are like for condos on the Peninsula?

Wednesday, August 15, 2007 3:42 PM by Billy Julian

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Billy, thanks for stopping by. The answer to your question will either make you happy or sad depending on whether you are selling or buying.

The condo market across the Charleston area is down sharply because there is so much inventory, whether it is a condo conversion or new construction. Mount Pleasant, James Island and West Ashley have excessive inventory.

However, the Peninsula of downtown Charleston is holding up very nicely and higher priced sales in downtown are likely responsible for the price appreciation noted in the condo market in the past several months.

The Medical Center, The College of Charleston and the fact that there is only one special place like Charleston South Carolina are contributing reasons to the strength and stability of the real estate market on the Charleston Penisula.

Thursday, August 16, 2007 7:28 AM by Howard Arnoff

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

I am looking into a new condo project in the French Quarter that is being developed this fall / winter on Cumberland Street.  What type of prices per square foot should I be expecting to pay for this premium location?

Thursday, August 16, 2007 3:30 PM by Jimmy

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Jimmy, I would need way more information from you before commenting. I will say this, at that location, bring lots of money, it won't be inexpensive :)

Thursday, August 16, 2007 4:56 PM by Howard Arnoff

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

www.thecumberlandcharleston.com

-Carriage no longer has the marketing although the units are still in MLS under their name.  I called them and the prices in the MLS are no longer valid.  I just need to know if I should expect to pay 700 to 800 bucks a foot for this type of a unit.  All of your help is much appreciated.  I am a realtor from Charlotte, NC and do not belong to your MLS or I would do a CMA on my own.

Thanks.

Friday, August 17, 2007 6:49 AM by Jimmy

# re: Charleston South Carolina real estate market report, July 2007

Jimmy, that project is proposed construction but was indicated to be $683 sf on average. There is a project under renovation at 85 Cumberland with mostly smaller units at $777 sf on average (smaller units generally will be a little higher dollar per square foot).

Friday, August 17, 2007 9:17 AM by Howard Arnoff
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