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Subprime mortgage meltdown

The slowdown in real estate is seriously affecting the mortgage market with some suggesting a meltdown in the subprime sector. I've suggested recently that those who have adjustable rate mortgages that will reset resulting in a higher monthly payment should refinance to more conventional fixed rate mortgages and everyone should avoid the more exotic mortgage products available. One of the problems facing some borrowers is that they didn't understand the future consequences of the mortgage they selected.

With all the news about subprime lenders closing their doors, filing bankruptcy, tightening underwriting standards, etc., the sad reality is that some subprime borrowers might not be able to refinance because the same programs they first qualified for in order to buy a house or investment property may no longer be available.

There are a variety of websites and blog posts related to mortgage lending, subprime mortgages and the housing bubble. (Speaking of websites dealing with the housing bubble, I still can't figure out why people would cheer for bad news, and who is reading this stuff anyway and why? - the only explanation I've heard that makes sense is that the authors are selling ad space on their sites and profiting from attracting large numbers of readers.)

HSBC (Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation) was the first to shock the market with their announcement in early February that they were setting aside additional reserves to cover bad debt expected to be 20% higher than forecast. HSBC is the 3rd largest bank in the world and smaller lenders immediately started toppling. Large banks who were buyers of some of these bad loans demanded the sellers buy them back (now that is really a good one, if I could sell back some of the lousy investments I've made in my life for what I paid for them, it would be really nice.) But maybe because they're bigger and better than me, they can actually do it, or at least try, if there is any money left. There are predictions some mortgage fraud will be discovered and I would expect some kind of hit to the financial system. Of course, if that would occur, the US Government would likely step in and help out, in plain English or American, such as it is, that means the taxpayers will bail out the losers.

Here are some links to some interesting stories and websites relating to what is happening in the mortgage industry. Lots of good reading!

Sub-prime gloom picks up after HSBC warning by Simon Kennedy at Marketwatch

The Mortgage Lender Implode - O - Meter by Aaron Krowne

Is the Subprime Mortgage Market the next Enron by Brian Brady at Bloodhound

There's No Love for the Subprime Borrower by Rhonda Porter at Rain City

The Subprime Mortgage Default Opportunity by Watch your wallet

The Mortgage Report by Dan Green

Seeking Alpha - assorted posts

An Insider's Guide to the Mortgage Industry by the X Broker

Last but by no means least, Mortgages Undressed by the great Larry Cragun

Published Friday, February 16, 2007 8:54 AM by Howard Arnoff

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# re: Subprime mortgage meltdown

Sub-prime lenders and 'ALT-A'(non-comforming loans) lending are SLOWLY starting to loosen their guidelines.  It may take a year or more to get even close to where they used to be.  In July and August guidelines really started to tighten as lenders became aprehensive to lend to borrowers with below par credit and people who don't have traditional income streams.  For example, if you were a 'STATED INCOME' or 'NO DOC' borrower, you would have had to have a 680 credit score to qualify in August.  As of last week that has dropped to a requirement of a 660 credit score.

But those sub-prime borrowers and Stated Income or No Doc borrowers are in a bad spot if they put earnest money down on a pre-construction a year or more ago.  As some cannot quaify now.  

30yr fixed rates are still great and it is a good idea to refinance into a 30yr fixed and out of the ARM if you have one.  With lots of inventory and homes not selling as fast, you do not want to wait until the ARM rate adjusts.

David L. Wolfe

Primary Residential Mortgage. Inc.

(843) 849-5525

Tuesday, October 09, 2007 11:02 AM by David Wolfe

# re: Subprime mortgage meltdown

David, thanks for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. While the credit crunch in general has loosened up somewhat, imho, subprime borrowers are just better off not applying for a loan today especially with a teaser starter rate that will ultimately reset and become unaffordable.

I hope those with adjustable rate loans will refinance into something more affordable and that the lenders will accommodate their situations. Stated and no doc with excellent credit scores have demonstrated their ability to pay their bills, subprime borrowers have not and should not be borrowing at high interest rates just to get a house.

I would think that the loose lending standards of the past years will not be repeated for a while or until banks and investors have forgotten that billions of dollars evaporated from balance sheets.  

Tuesday, October 09, 2007 12:33 PM by Howard Arnoff

# From subprime to bailout, 2008 year in review

Who would have thought when HSBC (Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Company), the third largest bank in

Monday, December 29, 2008 11:25 AM by Charleston Real Estate Blog

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